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G8: Rich countries retreat from action on climate change
July 9, 2008 -- The G8's communique regarding their action on climate is actually inaction being masked as movement. It is a great fraud being perpetrated on the global community that would significantly reduce its capacity to contain climate change. We fully agree with the statement of the Government of South Africa that "[W]hile the Statement may appear as a movement forward, we are concerned that it may, in effect, be a regression from what is required to make a meaningful contribution to meeting the challenges of climate change." [Click pic for BBC footage of G8 protests.]
Retreat from Bali
The announcement of the agreement among the G8 to reduce greenhouse gas emissions globally by 50 per cent by 2050 is actually a step back from the minimum action that was demanded by the global community during the United Nations Summit on Climate Change in Bali last December. In Bali, opposition from the US, Japan and Canada almost killed a developing consensus that should commit industrialised (Annex 1) countries to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 25-40 per cent from 1990 levels by 2020. That developing consensus also projected the minimum cut needed by 2050 to be in the range of 80 to 90 per cent if the rise in global temperature was to be kept below 2 degrees centigrade in the 21st century.
The G8's 50 per cent formula is objectionable on several counts:
First, the G8 formula is a global cut, not one undertaken by the industrialised or Annex One countries, so big polluters like the US can actually free-ride on the rest of the world.
Second, the cut has no clear baseline. It was revealing that in announcing it, Japanese Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda initially said it was from 1990 levels, then had to take back that statement and subsequently mentioned a 2000 baseline.
Third, this declaration of intent is not binding and there is no indication that the G8 want to bring their "commitment" fully under the United Nations climate negotiations framework that would bind its signatories. Indeed, the G8 announcement reinforces the G8 as a site for climate action that rivals the UN process and effectively subverts it. Not surprisingly, the G8 declaration emerged as part of a parallel process known as the "Major Economies Meeting." The Major Economies Meeting is a US initiative to wrest decision-making on climate from the United Nations framework and process.
All in all, the G8 announcement is one giant step away from meaningful mandatory reductions and significantly increases the chances of the planet slipping into uncontrolled climate change.
Supporting the wrong agency
Another setback to the cause of effective climate action was the G8's endorsement of the World Bank's Climate Investment Funds, to which the communique said certain countries had already pledged $6 billion. Civil society groups monitoring the Bank's environment program had already warned the G8 that there are very serious concerns that the funds would be heavily oriented toward funding large-scale coal plants. Without a clear definition of clean technology, the funds may be used to finance projects that do not clearly mitigate climate change or may take up resources that bring only minor or incremental change at a time that fundamental change is needed.
Just as the G8 undermines the UN as the site for climate action, so does the World Bank subvert an already established UN mechanism. An Adaptation Fund under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was established in Bali by the Conference of Parties in December 2007 precisely to provide technological assistance to developing countries. Instead of funding this mechanism, the G8 countries may now divert their contributions to the World Bank Climate Investment Funds to maintain control of the process of technology transfer. Not surprisingly, the developing countries have criticized the World Bank mechanism as a threat to serious efforts to assist the global South to deal with climate change.
After failing as a development bank, the World Bank is now trying to create the image that it is the "climate bank''. This is indeed the height of hypocrisy. With $2 billion already spent on coal, oil and gas projects over the last year, the World Bank has broken its own record as the world's largest multilateral financier of greenhouse-emitting energy initiatives. Even as it pretends to deal with climate change with its Climate Investment Funds, the Bank is actually exacerbating it with its massive fossil fuel extraction lending.
We must call a spade a spade. The G8 declaration does not constitute an advance but a step backward in the global community's ability to deal with climate change. Saying that it is better than nothing or that it is realistic given the Bush administration's opposition to significant action is to lend legitimacy to a dangerous charade.
The G8 has once again lived up to its reputation of being an obstacle to the global community's efforts to come to grips with the challenges of our times. We repeat our call to disband this unelected body of rich country governments that acts as if it were the government of the world.
Partial list of endorsers: Attac Japan, CADTM, ESK-Basque Country, Focus on the Global South, Freedom from Debt Coalition, Friends of the Earth International, FSU-France, Institute for Policy Studies-US, Sustainable Energy and Economy Network, Via Campesina.
[Reposted from http://www.asia-pacific-action.org/node/92.]




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Burying the Future
From: Rachel's Democracy & Health News #166, Jul. 10, 2008
BURYING THE FUTURE
By Peter Montague
The "Group of Eight" (G8) nations met for 3 days in Hokkaido, Japan
this week and hammered out a new energy strategy for the planet. The
G8 are the world's 8 richest nations: Canada, England, France,
Germany, Italy, Japan, Russia, and the U.S.
The official G8 declaration did not mention it, but Japan's Prime
Minister announced at a press conference that,
"We, the G8, arrived at a common view which is to seek to adopt as a
global target the goal of at least a 50% reduction of global emissions
of greenhouse gases (GHG) by 2050."
Despite the weak language ("arrived at a view to seek to adopt as a
global target..."), it appears that the G8 made some sort of
commitment to reduce greenhouse gases to 50% of 2005 emission levels
by 2050.
The 50% reduction below 2005 levels is spelled out quite clearly in
Figure 2 of a document prepared for the G8 summit by the International
Energy Agency (IEA) called "IEA Work for the G8: 2008 Messages."
So here's the deal:
In 2005, global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions were roughly 28 billion
metric tonnes (one tonne = 2200 pounds). CO2 is the main greenhouse
gas thought to be causing global warming. If "business as usual"
continues, this 28 billion tonnes per year will rise to 62 billion
tonnes per year by 2050, growing 1.8% per year for the next 45 years.
The total emitted during the 45 years would be nearly 2 trillion
tonnes of CO2. Total CO2 emissions during the 20th century were about
1 trillion tonnes of CO2, so the "business as usual" scenario
represents a huge increase in CO2 emissions compared to the 20th
century.[1] Yes, it will be getting hot in here, if we don't
change our ways.
As the IEA put it, "Concerted global action is urgently needed to
address today's daunting energy challenges. Without such action... the
threat of climate change will become a devastating reality."
So to avert to the "devastating reality" of climate change the G8
agreed to cut global CO2 emissions back to 14 billion tonnes per year
by the year 2050, half of where global emissions were in 2005. They
hope this will stabilize CO2 concentration in the atmosphere at 450
parts per million and prevent the earth's surface temperature from
rising more than 2 to 3 degrees C. (3.6 to 5.4 degrees F.) this
century.
Let's leave aside the question of whether a 50% cut below 2005 levels
will be adequate. Suffice it to say that there are eminent climate
scientists who think we need to stabilize C02 in the atmosphere at
350 ppm or even 325 ppm. CO2 in the atmosphere is presently at 385 ppm
and rising about 2 ppm per year. To get back to 350 or 325 ppm would
require far steeper cuts than 50% by 2050.
How does the G8 expect to reach its 2050 goal of 50% below 2005? The
IEA says...
** Renewables will provide 21% of the needed cut.
** Power generation efficiencies and fuel switching (unspecified) will
provide 7% of the needed cut.[2]
** End use fuel switching (unspecified) will provide 11% of the needed
cut.
** End use electrcity efficiency will provide another 12% and end use
fuel efficiency will provide 24% of the needed cut.
** The world must also build 960 to 1280 nuclear power plants between
2010 and 2050, each with a capacity of 1000 megawatts (MW). This will
provide 6% of the needed cut.
** The world must also build 1200 to 1400 new coal-fired power plants,
each with a capacity of 500 MW, and bury their CO2 in the
ground, hoping it will stay there forever. This will provide 9% of
the needed cut.
** The world must also build 40 to 800 gas-fired power plants, each
with a capacity of 500 MW, and bury their CO2 in the ground,
hoping it will stay there forever. This will provide 10% of the needed
cut.
In other words, 25% of the needed cuts will come from building nuclear
power plants (with their threat of spreading nuclear weaponry, and
their attendant long-lived radioactive wastes) and from burning coal
and burying liquified, pressurized CO2 in the ground. The IEA did not
say so, but these hazardous wastes will have to be passed along to the
next generation, perhaps with a note that begins, "Sorry to have to
tell you this, but we're handing you a couple of problems that you and
your grandchildren will not be able to ignore...."
==============
[1] For source of data, see footnote 3 in Rachel's #945.
[2] IEA says it plans to publish more details in a document called
"Towards a Sustainable Evergy Future -- IEA Programme of Work on
Climate Change, Clean Energy and Sustainable Development" to be made
available at www.iea.org, but we can't find it there as of today
(July 10, 2008).
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