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Bolivia: Two years of `post-neoliberal’ Indigenous nationalism -- a balance sheet
By the Bolpress editorial board, translated by Sean Seymour Jones for Links International Journal of Socialist Renewal
State
intervention in economic activity -- the nationalisation of businesses,
restrictions on exports and price controls, among other measures -- doesn’t
appear to be contributing to the materialisation of the structural changes
postulated by the National Development Plan (PND) of the Movement Towards Socialism
(MAS). This is the evaluation of business leaders, analysts and political
leaders from the right-wing opposition in
Many
documents issued recently by institutes and conservative pressure groups
conclude that the "out of fashion statism" of the MAS doesn't
guarantee the macroeconomic stability or controlled inflation; while its
"radical” “ideological” postulates in international trade “isolate"
the country and scare off investment. [1]
In
almost every case, the conservative groups analyse the economic policy of the
MAS from the point of view of liberalism as the only valid paradigm for
interpreting reality, and they criticise the government for not gambling
on the unrestricted free market and big private business as key factors of
economic development.
Growth of the economy
The
government’s PND projected an economic growth of 5.3% in 2007, but the National
Institute of Statistics (INE) reported 4.6% and the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) and the Economic Commission for
Nevertheless,
in macroeconomic terms, the "post-neoliberal" nationalist regime of the
MAS and its despised state interventionism has had to more successes in two and
half years than economic liberalism did in two decades.
Vice-President
Alvaro García Linera recalls that during neoliberalism (1985-2005), Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) grew on average 3% per year and never passed 5%. During
the MAS administration of President Evo Morales, GDP grew 4.5% on average. The
12 economic sectors studied by the INE in order to measure GDP shows increases
in 2007 in production of oil and gas of 11.34%, construction 8.59% and
mining 6.07%.
The
income of the state rose from on average from US$300 million to $1500 million
annually thanks to the nationalisation of the Chaco, Andina and Transredes oil
companies; of the refineries in Cochabamba and Santa Cruz; as well as the Vinto
foundry, the Huanuni mine and the National Telecommunications Company (ENTEL).
The
neoliberal governments accumulated in the Central Bank of
Inflation
The
PND predicted single-digit inflation for the whole period, but two years after
its introduction, inflation is in double digits and it has increasingly turned
into the principal problem of the national economy.
Many
studies carried out by the right-wing opposition identify the determining
factors of inflation as: the elevated and disorganised public expenditure towards
consolidating the presence of the state in the economy, the uncontrolled growth
of the monetary mass with the Juancito Pinto bonds [for primary school
students] and the Dignity Income [pension for those over 60 years old], which have
created "artificial conditions of wellbeing in certain segments of the
population".
The
right "relativise" external factors like the increase of
international prices, that in its criteria were reduced by state
"subsidies" and price "controls" in the internal market.
The rise in food prices is a failure of government management, claimed the
Confederation of Private Employers of Bolivia (CEPB), despite the Food and
Agriculture Organisation (FAO) confirming a while ago that inflation is a world
problem, due principally to rising food prices.[2] In Bolivia, the average
inflation of 8.3% is in large part the consequence of the rise in the price of
flour by 69%.
García
Linera comments that in 20 years of economic policies imposed by the IMF, the
average inflation was 11.5%, although in the government of Jaime Paz, when the
head of the opposition National Unity (UN) party Samuel Doria Medina was the minister of planning,
the indicators reached 18%.
Free trade and investment
The
Bolivian Institute of Foreign Trade (IBCE) and Podemos senator Luis Vásquez
warn that the MAS government’s "deficient", "immature" and
"unprofessional" foreign and commercial policy was isolating the
country, with very high political, historic and economic costs.
The
right laments the "isolation" of the Bolivian economy from the global
currents of trade because it has put three crosses against the free trade agreement
with the
National
exports rose from an annual average of $1100 million during neoliberalism to $2588
million in May 2008, with the expectation of reaching $5500 million in December
through sales of hydrocarbons, minerals (lead, silver, zinc, tin, tungsten),
agroindustrial products, manufactured goods, textiles, furniture and others. This
information, the vice-president assures, demolishes the arguments that the
present economic model is isolating
The
nationalisations and the withdrawal from the International Centre for
Resolution of Relative Differences in Investment (CIADI), to mention some
anti-business actions, increased legal insecurity and make the foreign
investment generating sources of work flee, the opposition charges.
The
governments of Hugo Banzer (1999-2001) and Gonzalo Sánchez de Lozada (2002-03)
said that the Bolivian state invested between $400 million and $450 million,
and private business $800 million, although later it confirmed that there was
no such investment. García Linera assures that at present, the state is the
motor that drives the economy with an investment of between $1100 million and $1700
million. [4]
In a role as "spokesperson" of the EU, Senator Tito Hoz de Vila (from Podemos) says that Europeans hope for a "much more protagonist and less obstructionist role for Bolivia, the country that receives the greatest cooperation and that most holds back the negotiation with the European Union". Hoz de Vila demands the foreign affairs department replace the "radical" Bolivian negotiating team headed by the "intransigent" ambassador for trade and integration affairs, Pablo Solón, who "hinders" the negotiations and doesn't suit the current reality.
All
the arguments of the right are based on an assumption that the liberalisation
of trade "promotes development" and access to the European market of
500 million inhabitants will generate investment, more employment and hard currency,
and will drive the economy. It is true that "free trade" enriches a
few, it doesn’t benefit in the short term and its impact on the economies of
the Andean countries will be "very small", recognised the United States
Trade Representative (USTR) in 2004. [5] One can expect the same from the
European FTA, whose normative standards are more radical than those agreed to
in the WTO.
According to the European directive relating to legal
protection of biotechnological inventions (Directive 98/44/CE, Art. 5.2),
"an element isolated from a human body or produced through a technical
procedure, including the partial sequence of a gene, can constitute a
patentable invention, even if the structure of this element is identical to a
natural element".
Ex-director
of the National Service of Intellectual Property (Senapi) Claudia Solares warns
that under those conditions, and without the capacity to innovate the patents,
above all pharmaceuticals,
Within
the framework of the negotiations of the General Agreement on Trade and
Services (GATS) of the WTO, the EU requested that some developing countries
withdraw their demands for obligatory loans to small and medium-sized business,
contradicting a wide sector of the international community that consider that
the growth of the agricultural production in developing countries [through these businesses] is
key to confronting the causes of the food crisis.
The
governments of the Community of Andean Nations (CAN) hoped to resolve the
problem of migration in the negotiations with the EU. But after the passing of
the [anti-immigration] Return Directive, repudiated even by the Vatican,
the presidents of Bolivia and Ecuador asked what sense does it make
"to associate ourselves" with a Europe that proposes the free movement
of goods and capital but at the same time criminalises the migration of human
beings? It appears that there is only globalisation of business, looking for
markets and money, complained Evo Morales.
The
liberal right blame Evo Morales for the political crisis in the CAN, when those
responsible for the fracture are the governments of
The
local right tend to exaggerate the conflicts and the lack of cohesion between Andean
countries. They blame the "radicals" for the suspension of the fourth
round of negotiations that should have taken place between July 7 and 11 in
Brussels because they don't understand the political changes in the CAN, where
the "Washington consensus" has been broken, and a healthy debate of
ideas has emerged that from time to time becomes heated.
Ecuador
and Bolivia are both in processes redefining the use of their natural
resources, the role of the state in the economy, the procedures for approving
international agreements and many other central aspects of the liberal economy
rejected by more and more people every time in Europe and the United States. [6]
Loyal
to the free market,
Structural changes
The
question is whether the recovery of the state is enough in order to consolidate
the structural changes promised in the National Plan of Development. The vice-president
assures that although sometimes they pass unnoticed, the changes in the
economic structures of the country advance much faster than the political
transformations.
The
four pillars of the old national economy were the oil companies, agribusiness,
the medium and large mines, and the banks, sectors that were owners of almost
all the fundamental wealth of the country. Now, says García Linera, the new
nucleus of power is the state together with micro, small and medium, private
and community, urban and rural productive units, considered the promoters of
national development and the principal generators of employment.
The
transnational and large national private companies which had been privileged by
the [pre-MAS] neoliberal state for more than 20 years have lost political and
economic influence, especially the extensive networks of local intermediaries
that prospered in the shadow of the energy transnationals, and the agribusiness
bunker that monopolised the production, marketing and processing of grains.
Broken
down and weakened, the old dominant classes "in decline" reacted with
brutality and desperation through the radical right-wing groups in the Senate,
civic committees and prefectures in the east of the country. García
Linera observes that these people blackmail, threaten, beat and boycott the
economic and social program of the constitutional government because "we
have taken their money, not for us" but for the state to construct
schools, to provide health services, to increase salaries and assure productive
investment.
Hydrocarbons
Right-wing
analysts emphasise that in the two years since the nationalisation hydrocarbons
(with three ministers of hydrocarbons and five presidents of the state oil
company YPFB involved),
According
to García Linera, the foreign oil companies incorporate the most important and
influential group of the Bolivian economy: they had ownership over the gas
and oil reservoirs, the towers, drilling and piping equipment; they
controlled the exploitation, transportation and marketing, and the export
prices. Around the oil power moved a regional network of intermediaries and
subcontractors and traders, above all in
This
oil group has been "dethroned" by Law 3058 (nationalisation through
the purchase of shares), and the entire gas production chain (trade, transport,
refining, prices) became the property of all Bolivians. The participation of
the state in the oil rent rose from 27% to 72-75% and its income rose from
$500 million to $2000 million.
The
oil companies kept the drilling towers and their equipment; their profits
decreased from between $1000 million and $1300 million to $400 million or $500
million. The intermediaries and subcontractors of
Agribusiness
The
nationalism of the 1952 Bolivian revolution created state companies and
development corporations to drive agricultural production and managed to
cultivate 1.5 million hectares of foodstuffs in 1985. Afterwards, the neoliberal
state, whose premise was export or die, invested large quantities of money in
order to strengthen a single rural actor, big exporting agribusinesses,
forgetting the small and medium-sized producers that supply the internal
market.
Neoliberalism
left the farming sector in a deplorable state, without investment and with
profound inequities. Ninety per cent of cultivable land is concentrated into
the hands of 50 or 60 families; 600,000 small producers have to make do with
the remaining 10%. Ninety per cent of the credit portfolio of the whole financial
system is in the hands of 7% or 8% of the companies in the country, therefore
more than 90% of the economic units gain access to 9-10% of the credit.
In
the last five years, food production declined and the majority of the area
was assigned to agribusiness production for exportation. The previous
governments were only interested in the economic indicators and in generating hard
currency with exports; its priority wasn't to feed the people.
Until
2003-2004, cattle farming and the export-orientated agribusiness production
of soya, sugarcane, maize and rice was the second group of economic power, says
García Linera, integrated by national and foreign businesses such as FINO, IOL,
Gravetal, ADM and Cargill, which formed solid networks with big, medium
and small, national, Brazilian, Colombian and Menonite [religious
sect] producers and other owners of large extensions of land. The whole sector
managed $600 million annually, and in 2006-2007 their rent decreased to $550
million.
The
neoliberal state couldn't invest directly in the economy or in the farming sector
and neither could it control the distortions in prices; everything was in
private hands and of free supply and demand. Nevertheless, the state
transferred to the agribusiness sector between $100 million and $140 million
each year.
In
a meeting in July 2007, the leaders of the National Farming Confederation (Confeagro)
asked President Morales to guarantee that $150 million "as was done
before, in buildings, technical support and technical reprogramming".
Morales didn't give them a cent and decided to utilise the $150 million and
another additional $300 million in promotion programs for small and
medium-sized producers of rice, wheat, maize and soya.
The
model of rural productive development changed: the state recovered its role of
regulation and control of the market and converted itself into a rural
productive actor, explains minister of rural development, farming and environment Susana
Rivero.
Now
the state intervenes in the market. It knows how much each area produces,
how much the producer gets and how much should be paid by the consumer. It has
imposed a "just price" -- the result of the cost of production and
the purchasing power of the people -- because it isn't just that the big
businesses impose "international" prices on
The
state also recovered its planning role through the Production and Markets
Monitoring System (SISPAM), and now knows where it has to invest as a
productive rural actor through the Food Production Support Company (EMAPA),
that assists small and medium-sized producers of rice, wheat, maize and soya.
The
most interesting thing of all is that the state involved itself in the soya
business, which it was outside of for more than 20 years, and it started
to fracture a solid business group. The state began to gradually control, buy
and finance from 3000 to 10,000 tonnes of soya, and this year expects to manage
up to 80,000 tonnes. This is scarcely 10% of total production, but the
important thing is that the state is incorporating itself in the production
chain by buying soya from the small producers, highlights García Linera.
A
tonne of soya costs between $390 and $395 in the
Food
for Bolivians and incentives for the small and medium-sized food producers (in
the area of meat, vegetables and even the industrial farming) are the
priorities of the government’s New Model of Rural Productive Development and of
the New Policy of Food Security and Sovereignty. [7]
Big
business and conservative political parties criticise policies that favour
small and medium-sized industries, and cooperatives and other forms unions of
artisans and individual rural producers, and discriminate against the
"formal" exporters of manufactured goods and grains. [8]
Moreover,
they complain that the PND aims to distribute 30 million hectares of land
between 200,000 peasant families, and will investigate 56 million hectares by
2010. They fear that modifications to the Law of the Institute of Agrarian
Reform 2006 opens a broad space of discretion in the definition of the social-economic
function of the land that could threaten their properties.
The
government isn't merciless or in combat with the big productive sector or
private business in general; to the contrary, it respects private property and
its capacity for reasonable profit, and its policy of redistribution of land
hasn't affected the interests of the big producers.
The
results of the investigation of land in the last two years demonstrate that the
agrarian policy isn't "anti-business". In the neoliberal decade
(1996-2005) approximately 1.2 million hectares of the land of medium and large
farming businesses was investigated. In the two years of the MAS government,
888,000 hectares categorised as medium and large farming business were investigated.
With
public financing, the Centre for Tropical Agricultural Investigation (CIAT)
Institute improved soya, rice and wheat seeds in the lowlands. The government
supports the cattle farming sector affected by the floods with an investment of
more than $2.8 million in veterinarian supplies and mineral salts. It will
attend to 70% of the cattle herd of the
Minister
Rivero temporally restricted the exports of oils and other products because
some businesses "had hoped to utilise the people in order to hurt the
government, but I'm here to defend the popular economy and not the economy of a
handful of families that have already had more than 20 years of filling their
pockets at the expense of the people".
In
order to moderate the increase in prices and guarantee internal supply, the government
temporally prohibited the export of various types of meat, some grains like
rice, maize, wheat, as well as fixing a band of prices for a litre of oil
between 10.50 and 12.99 Bolivianos ($1.43 and $1.76). It applies new monetary,
fiscal and foreign exchange policies aimed at strengthening the productive sector.
It is considering a law of food subsidy, especially for bread.
The
president of the Confederation of Private Businesses of Bolivia (CEPB) Gabriel
Dabdoub announced that it will demand that the government go before the
International Labour Organisation and even go before the Organisation of
American States (OAS) for vetoing exports, which in his view is an
"attack" against the freedom to work. Nevertheless, this will fall on
deaf ears given that the Bolivian government isn't the only one that regulates
exports, fixes quotas and price bands, or creates strategic food
reserves. [9]
According
to Rivero, the Bolivian government has changed the strategy of development to
bring food closer to the population and reduce the asymmetries between small, medium
and large producers. The government supports small producers with donations,
supplies and credit at 6% interest because they do not have access to finance from
banks like the large producers.
What
are the results of the change? The "neo-statism" of the MAS has
increased the area of land cultivated for food from 2.1 million hectares in
2005 to 2.5 million hectares in 2008. Now there is a surplus in production.
With an investment of $90.3 million in production, the farming sector grew
2.13% in 2007.
Rich
and influential agribusiness has asked for prominence and regional power not
only because it stopped receiving hundreds of millions of dollars from the state,
but because it has been displaced by the mining exports of Oruro-Potosí
that now generate more money than the entire department [province] of Santa
Cruz.
Mining
The
third power group of the old economy was the mining sector under the
control of transnationals, cooperatives and small producers, which as a
whole managed $500 million. Presently mining continues in the hands of
foreign private business, medium-sized mining companies and cooperatives. In
fourth place appears the state, which has gradually profiled itself as an
exporter.
García
Linera identifies two important changes in the mining sector. First, the displacement
of the regional power of Santa Cruz to the west (today the second-most productive
force is Oruro-Potosí and part of
The
opposition charges that the uncertainty provoked by the changes in the mining taxation
regime has paralysed investment and production, not making use of the high international
prices. Vice-President García Linera reminds them that in the neoliberal period,
mining exports reached $280 million annually on average, and $1200 million in
May 2008, almost as much as gas and oil. In the first quarter of this year, the
mining sector contributed almost 54% to GDP.
Until
2005, the state received 20% of mining profits and 80% was going to the private
sector. With the new law on tax and mining royalties, in 2008 the distribution was
55% for the state and 45% for the private sector.
Conclusions
The
MAS government inherited an old power structure with four groups; it partially
displaced three of them and left intact the fourth group, the banks. The
bankers managed between $50 million and $80 million annually and it is calculated
that in 2007 they earned $100 million thanks to mining in Potosí. The radical
modification of the economic power structure in
Previously
agribusiness was the second-biggest sector in the economy and now it is mining;
previously it was all private mining and now mining is private and state. The state
has replaced the oil companies as the head of the economy and its participation
in the generation of productive wealth increased from 0.8% to 8%. In total,
in two and a half years of government, the participation of the state in
the Bolivian economy has passed from 13% to 22%, which is still very far from
50%, recognises the vice-president.
"Neo-statism"
constructs a producer state that invests hydrocarbon resources and those from
mining in the development of the national productive apparatus with the aim of
organising a strong, diversified industrial base without plundering
nature.
The
state has started to diversify into petroleum, telecommunications, agriculture,
partially in mining with Huanuni, el Mutún and the Salar de Uyuni. Besides
this, it creates new things like the thermoelectric project in the Chapare;
liquid separating plants in
The
government certifies that its proposals are better than the "rentist"
state capitalism of the past and has little to do with the experience of the development
corporations of the 1960s and 1970s. In those experiments, the state exploited
natural resources and raw materials and returned the profits to the economy in
a rentist manner.
The
rentist logic of the old state was to live off natural resources and distribute
the profits to whoever yelled the loudest. Public companies like YPFB or the
Bolivian Mining Corporation (Comibol) never had a deficit but their surpluses
were plundered and wasted without any criteria of productive strategy, comments
Teresa Morales, ex-minister of state and postgraduate researcher of development
sciences at UMSA.
Now
the state industrialises natural resources according to the necessities of the
domestic productive apparatus and strengthens the community, empowering the
small-producers economy in general which constitutes 85% of the economically
active population.
It
strengthens the productive role of the state because only the authority of the state
is capable of reordering the economy with equity. It’s not a question of state
capitalism but of a state "communitarism" with a new paradigm of
development.
In
the old paradigm of liberal Western development, major economic growth and the increase
in GDP were synonymous with social wellbeing. Liberalism understands wellbeing
of human beings as the increase of material consumption of goods and services.
"Post-neoliberal"
Indigenous nationalism set out a new civilised paradigm based on Indigenous
peasant logic, according to which human wellbeing doesn't depend on frenetic
consumerism or the blind industrialism that causes environmental crises.
According
to the MAS, "living well" or human wellbeing has multiple dimensions:
harmony between the material and the spiritual, satisfaction of necessities
with austerity, and symbolic accumulation of affection, appreciation, social recognition,
self-esteem and self-confidence.
In
summary, wellbeing isn't only material, but also symbolic, social and
emotional. The most important part of living well is harmony between the
individual and the collective, or the harmony between the human being and the
environment. The logic is: I am well only as much as my environment and my
community are well.
Notes
[1] Ceben-Cainco report: A dos años de la vigencia del Plan Nacional de Desarrollo. (Two years of carrying out
the National Plan of Development.)
[2]
The general inflation in May 2008 for the countries of
[3]
Exports grew 54% in the first five months of 2008, according to the National
Institute of Statistics (INE): minerals by 73%; agriculture and cattle farming
by 52.4%; hydrocarbons by 51.3% and manufactured goods by 44%. The sales of gas
to
[4] In
the 1990s investment reached $1026 million "giving away natural
resources". In 2004, investment was $448 million; $488 million in 2005; $582
million in 2006 and $700 million in 2007. García Linera estimates there will be
$800 million of investment in
[5]
Between 1983 and 2002,
[6]
On
[7]
Under previous governments 210 tractors were handed over; the MAS has given 1061
tractors and organises industrial and processing plants for citrus fruits in Santa
Cruz and Cochabamba, and milk in the Altiplano. Moreover, its promotes
the industrialisation of quinua.
[8]
They observe that the PND proposed to channel up to $315 million annually in
credit into quinua farming during 2006-2010, but up until now the Productive
Development Bank (BDP) distributed scarcely $60 million.
[9]
In recent months, wheat exports have been restricted in
Sources
1. Análisis de la coyuntura política en
2. Press reports from the
Ministry of Rural Development and Farming;
3. The Palabra Clave ("Key Word") program led by journalist
Juilo Peñaloza and broadcast by Erbol.



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